On the same day the Musk-funded ads started running in Wisconsin, the Republican majority on the North Carolina Supreme Court issued a little-noticed decision that increases the likelihood that Republicans will overturn the election of Democratic State Supreme Court Justice Allison Riggs—the last uncertified race from November 2024.

Wisconsin is on track to break spending records once again in a high court contest that's at times turned heated. But these races weren't always like this.

Tennessee, Florida, Michigan State and St. John's remain on the 2-line in DeCourcy's latest projections, while Wisconsin ... Texas, North Carolina and Xavier among his first four teams out ...